Big Board 4.0 Part II - Unveiling My Top 30 NBA Prospects for 2024
Assessing the premier prospects and pinpointing avenues for summer enhancement, along with identifying role models to emulate.
I want to extend my apologies for the recent lack of content over the past few weeks. It has been a challenging time for me as I've been grappling with and trying to find time to write amidst my wife's recent cancer diagnosis. Over the past 45 days or so, my days have been consumed with two-hour round trips to visit multiple doctors two or three times per week while balancing caregiving responsibilities for my wife and our 21-month-old son. The process of writing and researching from cold hospital rooms has posed significant challenges. It feels similar to being an ice-cold shooter coming off the bench, striving to find my rhythm, or in my case, to get into my writing groove, with only limited minutes.
While I won't delve into all the details here, I simply want to reassure my subscribers and potential subscribers that I am committed to doing my best to continue creating content during this challenging time.
In part 2 of Big Board 4.0, I share my thoughts on the top 30 NBA prospects heading into next week's NBA combine. Similar to part I, I examine these prospects through the lens of a trainer, considering how I would approach their pre-draft training and identifying areas for summer improvement.
Additionally, I offer suggestions for players of similar archetypes to study. These suggestions are based on my personal assessments and statistical data. Taking a cue from Daryl Morey, President of Basketball Operations for the Philadelphia 76ers, I advocate for cross-racial comparisons to ensure scouts evaluate prospects based on skill rather than appearance, nationality, or reputation.
It's important to note that the film study players are not direct comparisons; rather, they serve as examples for prospects to draw inspiration from and emulate aspects of their game. As the saying goes, "There's nothing wrong with being a copycat if you copy the right cat." Let's dive in!
Let's dive in!
1. Alex Sarr
Perth Wildcats (Australia)
International
PF/C
7’1” | 215
Age on draft night: 19.1
Alex Sarr stands out as an elite prospect who embodies everything NBA teams seek in a modern-day big man. His versatile offensive skill set enables him to score effectively from anywhere on the court and defend agile wing players while also serving as a formidable rim protector.
However, the primary critique of Sarr is his current lack of physical strength and occasional tendency to avoid physicality. Nevertheless, his blend of size, length, and promising shooting potential solidifies his position at the pinnacle of my Big Board.
Focus Areas for Summer
Low Post Scoring
It's clear that Alex Sarr will benefit greatly from improving his strength, particularly to improve his efficiency in the paint. This season, he encountered challenges with the physical play of the NBL, reflected in his 30% shooting on post-ups. Along with adding strength, I’d like to see Sarr dedicate a significant amount of time perfecting his unblockable turnaround jumper, along with focusing on a variety of post moves such as baseline spin hooks with both hands, pivot hooks, and baseline fadeaways.
Outside Shooting
While Sarr is promising shooter with range extending to the three-point line, he needs to become a more consistent outside threat to fully capitalize on his enormous potential. His shooting percentages of 30% on pick-and-pop jumpers and 26% on uncontested catch-and-shoot opportunities this season indicate room for improvement. To develop into an efficient floor spacer, Sarr should prioritize making hundreds of pick-and-pop and catch and shoot jumpers. Additionally, given his efficiency as an off-the-dribble shooter, it would be beneficial to incorporate space creation ball-handling drills. Developing into an efficient floor spacer will open up opportunities for Sarr to utilize his athleticism and advanced ball-handling to attack closeouts.
Film Study - Kevin Garnett
Although I don't anticipate Sarr transforming into the fiery and expressive vocal leader that Garnett was, I do believe that studying KG's game would greatly benefit his development. Similar to Garnett, Sarr has outlier physical attributes that set him apart. He boasts the ideal size and length necessary for protecting the paint, combined with the agility and mobility required for defending effectively on the perimeter. Absorbing the finer points of the game from a Hall of Famer and 12-time All-NBA defender who shares similar physical traits could unlock a treasure trove of potential for the player I consider to be the top talent in this draft class.
2. Stephon Castle
Connecticut
Freshman
Guard/Wing
6’6” | 215
Age on draft night: 19.6
Stephon Castle's draft stock received a significant boost due to his strong performances on both ends of the floor during the NCAA tournament. While he didn't dominate with high-scoring outbursts, he showcased his versatility and impacted games by playing a versatile, "Swiss Army knife" role in UConn's championship run.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting
Castle's most glaring weakness in his otherwise well-rounded game is his outside shooting. In the Final Four matchup against Alabama, the Crimson Tide deliberately left him open, challenging him to shoot from deep. Castle responded by connecting on his first two attempts before missing his last four.
It's never a positive sign when a team leaves you butt naked on the perimeter, but Castle rose to the challenge. His summer regimen should focus heavily on outside shooting, including shooting off the catch, practicing mid-range pull-up jumpers, and working on rhythm jumpers when defenders go under ball screens.
Castle concluded the season shooting 26% from beyond the arc, and his performance worsened in the NCAA tournament, where he connected on only 22% of his attempts.
Film Study - Jalen Rose
Comparing Castle to Jalen Rose isn't a direct match, but there are similarities in their playing styles. Like Rose, Castle's primary appeal lies in his versatility. He can effectively play multiple positions on the floor, leveraging his size advantage to exploit smaller defenders. However, he seems most comfortable running the team as a facilitator, setting the table for his teammates.
Also similar to Rose, Castle ball-handling and playmaking skills are advanced for a wing, but may not be strong enough for a full-time point guard role. Rose initially struggled with his outside shooting and off-ball play early in his career but eventually found his niche as a scoring wing and developed into a respectable three-point shooter.
Castle has already demonstrated his ability to play a complementary role without constant ball-handling responsibilities this season. Now, he must prove he can consistently knock down open shots and carve out a defined NBA position. If he can become a better defending version of Jalen Rose, Castle has the potential to be an All-Star caliber player for years to come.
3. Donovan Clingan
Connecticut
Sophomore
Center
7’2” | 280
Age on draft night: 20.3
Donovan Clingan has made a significant leap from No. 10 in Big Board 3.0 to No. 3, propelled by his impressive NCAA tournament performance where he essentially made the rim a no-fly zone for UConn's opponents.
On the defensive side, Clingan is poised to make an immediate impact with his exceptional ability to protect the rim and effectively play in drop coverages against the pick-and-roll.
Focus Areas for Summer
Low Post Scoring
At the very least, Clingan is primed to excel as a rim roller and a vertical lob threat. However, developing a go-to move and a counter move on the block could elevate his game to new heights. I believe Clingan should focus on simplicity and dedicate countless hours to practicing soft touch hook shots with both hands throughout the spring and summer. His primary focus should not be on floor spacing at the moment; instead, he should concentrate on developing a go-to move to exploit smaller defenders on switches.
Film Study - Paul and Marc Gasol
Clingan has displayed glimpses of passing instincts and court vision on scripted plays, leading me to believe that he has the potential to become a strong passer over time. Studying the likes of the Gasol brothers or even Domantas Sabonis could significantly enhance Clingan's value on the offensive end of the floor. While it may be unlikely for him to become a low-post hub which teams run their offense, Clingan has the potential to be an effective passer from the post, particularly when facing double teams, and from the elbow during dribble hand-offs.
4. Nikola Topić
Crvena Zvezda(Serbia)
International
Point Guard
6’7” | 200
Age on draft night: 18.8
Topić's knee injury has proven to be more serious than initially anticipated. What was initially projected as a 4-6 week recovery in early January has now stretched to four months and counting. Despite his extended period of inactivity, Topić remains firmly within the top 5 prospects in my estimation.
Topić possesses excellent positional size at 6’7” and excels as an aggressive downhill driver. I have a strong affinity for jumbo guards who apply relentless pressure at the rim, a description that fits Topić perfectly. Additionally, he ranks among the most efficient finishers in this draft class.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting
Topić tends to be a hesitant shooter, and it will be crucial for him to develop a reliable jump shot to keep defenses honest and to round out his offensive repertoire. During last summer's FIBA Under 18s competition, Topić shot a discouraging 4 for 30 on jump shots.
While I believe he is a capable shooter, especially when in rhythm off the dribble, his shooting percentages this season for KK Mega Soccerbet reflect room for improvement. He shot 32% on jumpers overall, with a concerning 29% on catch-and-shoot attempts. His shooting percentage drops even further to 23.8% on uncontested attempts.
Given his somewhat low release, Topić will need to either make adjustments to his shooting mechanics or extend his range, similar to Trae Young, who also has a low release point.
I recommend Topić dedicate himself to two-a-day shooting sessions, with a strong emphasis on spot shooting, mid-range pull-ups, and floaters.
Soft Touch Finishes
At this stage of his career, Topić's scoring is somewhat predictable, as he primarily relies on aggressive drives to the rim, where he excels at using angles and finishing through contact. However, this season, Topić only shot 23% on floaters around the basket. To avoid the likes of Rudy Gobert, Victor Wembanyama, and Anthony Davis awaiting him at the rim in the NBA, he must incorporate a floater or runner into his scoring arsenal.
Film Study - Penny Hardaway
Adopting Daryl Morey's approach of asking scouts to make cross-racial comparisons to avoid pigeonholing European players into European comparisons, I propose a curveball here.
Topić would benefit greatly from immersing himself in film of Penny Hardaway. While Topić may not have the same offensive creativity and athleticism as a young Penny, however, I believe studying Hardaway's game can provide valuable insights. Hardaway excelled in playing with pace, finding his mid-range sweet spots by using his size advantage to shoot over smaller defenders. Moreover, he utilized his height to post up smaller guards and draw double teams, creating scoring opportunities for himself and his teammates. This nuanced approach could greatly benefit Topic's development as a multifaceted offensive threat.
5. Rob Dillingham
Kentucky
Freshman
Point Guard
6’3” | 175
Age on draft night: 19.4
Dillingham emerges as perhaps the most exhilarating and captivating prospect in this draft, although opinions on him remain divided.
Some scouts express concerns about his slender frame and defensive impact or lack thereof, while others view his speed and shotmaking abilities as invaluable assets, especially within the context of NBA-level spacing.
Dillingham's main draw lies in his unmatched confidence as a scorer, dynamic ball-handling skills, and overall efficiency.
Focus Areas for Summer
Finishing at the Rim
Although Dillingham's slight frame presents a long term challenge, adding his strength will be crucial for his evolution as a finisher around the rim. During his freshman season at Kentucky, Dillingham converted only 50% of his layup attempts. However, he displays excellent touch around the rim and shot 52.8% on floaters, indicating promise as a finisher at the next level. Improving his strength will enable him to finish more effectively through contact.
While gaining strength will undoubtedly aid Dillingham in becoming a more efficient finisher against physicality, adding crafty finishes to his arsenal around the basket could elevate him into a versatile three-level scorer. I recommend that he dedicate a significant portion of his summer to honing opposite side of the rim, wide hook, and inside hand finishes.
Additionally, perfecting the "wrong foot" layup—using the right hand with the right foot or the left hand with the left foot—can be a game-changer. This technique keeps shot blockers off balance and disrupts their timing, allowing for quicker releases at the basket. In the NBA, the window between an open layup and a contested one is slim, so mastering the wrong foot layup can provide Dillingham with an advantage in finishing efficiently amidst defensive pressure.
Film Study - Steve Nash and Isaiah Thomas
While I acknowledge that there may not be many obvious parallels between Dillingham and Nash, I believe Dillingham could benefit from studying Nash's approach to controlling the game. Despite comparisons to Lou Williams and Collin Sexton, which are valid in their own right, Dillingham is a more capable playmaker than he is often given credit for. Enhancing his skills as a point guard and floor general could potentially elevate him from a dynamic 6th man or microwave scorer to an All-Star caliber starting point guard.
If Dillingham can strike a balance between scoring and playmaking, he has the potential to emerge as the top player in this draft class.
Studying Isaiah Thomas would be incredibly beneficial for Dillingham's development, despite their differing body types. Thomas, who is at least 5 inches shorter, but a stronger frame, mastered the art of utilizing his body to cut off angles of rim protectors and shield the ball while finishing at the rim. Although listed at a generous 5'9", Thomas displayed remarkable efficiency as an undersized finisher, even if statistically he ranked as an average finisher at the rim during his peak.
His unique ability to score around taller defenders was a hallmark of Thomas's game, making him an excellent role model for Dillingham to study and learn from. By adopting some of Thomas's techniques, Dillingham can enhance his craftiness and become a more effective scorer in the paint.
6. Matas Buzelis
G League Ignite
Wing
6’11” | 195
Age on draft night: 19.6
Buzelis stands out as one of the most intriguing long-term prospects in the 2024 NBA draft. The demand for 6'11" ball-handling wings is high, and Buzelis possesses a skill set perfectly tailored for the modern NBA.
I truly believe there's a compelling case for Buzelis to be seriously considered as the top overall pick in June. His distinct blend of size, skill, and potential as a dynamic scoring wing is bound to catch the attention of teams throughout the pre-draft process.
Buzelis demonstrates flashes of creativity off the dribble, showcasing ambidextrous finishing, and fluid, bouncy athleticism that allows him to deliver highlight-reel dunks above the rim. Additionally, he displays promise as a weak-side shot blocker, averaging 1.9 blocks per game this season.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting and Ball Handling
Entering the season, Buzelis had garnered a reputation as a sharpshooter, based on his impressive long-range efficiency throughout his high school career, notably shooting 43% on 3-pointers as a senior at Sunrise Christian Academy. However, he faced challenges adjusting to the longer NBA 3-point line and concluded the season shooting only 26% from deep.
Upon closer examination of the numbers, Buzelis encountered struggles with shooting efficiency overall:
- 32% FG on jump shots.
- 30.8% FG on catch-and-shoot jumpers.
- 22.7% on uncontested catch-and-shoot jumpers.
- 35.8% on jumpers off the dribble.
At the very least, Buzelis should aim to establish himself as a floor spacer capable of attacking closeouts, focusing on becoming a deadly corner shooter a necessity. However, he has the potential to maximize his talents by developing into a proficient pull-up shooter off the dribble, leveraging his size advantage to shoot over smaller defenders. A daily routine consisting of two sessions per day could greatly aid in this development. In the morning, focusing on knocking down 250 game-speed jumpers, followed by 250 catch-and-shoot jumpers from various spots on the perimeter in the evening, would significantly improve Buzelis's consistency from beyond the arc.
While Buzelis displays decent ball-handling skills, especially considering his size, tightening his handle will be crucial to avoid being nullified by smaller, pesky defenders.
Film Study - Brandon Ingram
In my view, Buzelis would benefit greatly from studying Ingram, as they share similar body types and skill sets.
Ingram has evolved into a versatile forward capable of scoring 20-plus points per game while contributing 5 rebounds and 5 assists per night. Like Buzelis, Ingram entered the NBA with a slender frame, but he has since added strength and weight, developing into a skilled playmaker who can also play as a point forward.
Although Ingram shot an impressive 41% from downtown during his lone college season at Duke, he faced challenges early in his NBA career, shooting 29% from 3 and 62% from the foul line as a rookie in 2016-17. However, Ingram has since become a formidable threat from beyond the arc, consistently connecting on 38% or better from 3-point range in four of his seven seasons since entering the league.
Emulating Ingram's trajectory holds promising prospects for Buzelis' NBA career.
7. Cody Williams
Colorado
Freshman
Wing
6’8” | 190
Age on draft night: 19.5
Scouts have tempered their expectations on Cody Williams as a potential top pick due to injuries that hindered his ability to capitalize on his promising start. However, they remain intrigued by his long-term potential as a playmaking wing.
Williams boasts a range of skills, including impressive ball-handling and defensive promise, which should secure his place in the top 10, despite growing concerns about his assertiveness and turnover tendencies.
His main allure lies in his versatility, highlighted by his ability to play and defend multiple positions and the potential to transition into a point-forward role at the next level.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting and Offensive Creativity
Williams arrived on Colorado’s campus with a reputation as a streaky shooter, but surprised many by shooting an impressive 41.7% from beyond the arc this season. However, he only attempted 1.7 3-pointers per game and made just 71% of his free throws. While his efficient 3-point shooting is a positive step, there are lingering questions about his consistency in this area.
This summer, Williams should prioritize honing his catch-and-shoot 3-pointers from behind the NBA line, alongside efforts to add strength and weight to his thin 185-pound frame.
Additionally, growing as a self-creator should also be high on Williams to-do list this summer. At this stage in his career, he lacks a mid-range pull-up game, connecting on only 31.3% of his pull-up jumpers this season. Participating in daily one-on-one matchups, ideally with his older brother Jalen from the Oklahoma City Thunder, could assist him in enhancing his offensive creativity and crafting reliable go-to and counter moves.
While assertiveness and toughness on the offensive glass may not be traits that can be developed solely in the gym, I would love to Williams become more aggressive on offense and more impactful on the boards.
Film Study - Pascal Siakam
Williams and Siakam may play different positions, but there are valuable lessons Williams could learn from Siakam's game. Siakam, a two-time All-Star, has established himself as one of the premier players in the NBA despite being a streaky, low-volume 3-point shooter.
Granted, Siakam weighed in at 226 pounds at the 2016 NBA combine, nearly 40 pounds heavier than Williams' listed weight, allowing him to play as a power forward while Williams projects more as a wing. However, Siakam's ability to impact games as a transition finisher, pull-up shooter, playmaker, and aggressive slasher is worth studying. Learning from Siakam's versatility and multi-dimensional offensive game could greatly benefit Williams as he continues to develop and refine his game.
8. Reed Sheppard
Kentucky
Freshman
Combo Guard
6’3” | 185
Age on draft night: 19.9
Widely regarded as the top shooter in this draft class, Sheppard has fans in NBA front offices that believe he could be the first college player selected in June.
This season, he shot an impressive 53% from the floor, along with an astounding 52% from downtown on four attempts per game.
Focus Areas for Summer
Shot Creation
Sheppard stands out as one of the few players in this draft without a glaring weakness on the offensive end. However, he could take his game to the next level by improving as a shot creator off the dribble, especially in late shot clock situations. If I were overseeing his offseason development, Sheppard would conclude every workout with a competitive game of one-on-one to 15—but with a twist—he'd exclusively face off against athletic 7-footers.
The NBA's landscape heavily features pick-and-roll plays, often pitting point guards against opposing big men in open space. It's crucial for ball handlers to master attacking and creating space against mobile bigs. In these one-on-one situational games, there would be a strong emphasis on using angles to beat bigs off the dribble and perfecting a hesitation pull-up dribble game to exploit slower defenders who prefer drop coverage.
Film Study: Chauncey Billups
Billups forged a Hall of Fame NBA career marked by sharp shooting, tenacious defense, and exceptional leadership and being known for delivering in clutch moments. While Sheppard may not possess the same natural strength as Billups, both stand around 6'3", are recognized as lethal shooters, reliable decision-makers, and solid yet average athletes in NBA circles.
Upon entering the NBA in 1997, Billups faced criticisms of being a "shoot-first" point guard, which was viewed as a "negative trait for a floor leader" in his pre-draft scouting report.
Fortunately for Sheppard, the game has evolved, and shooting holds more value than ever. Much like Billups, Sheppard is versatile enough to play on or off the ball and is nearly automatic when his feet are set. Sheppard would benefit greatly from studying Billups' game film, taking notes on how the former All-Star earned accolades as a dependable and efficient point/combo guard, particularly as a potent scorer out of high pick-and-roll sets.
9. Tyler Smith
G League Ignite
Stretch Four
6’11” | 225
Age on draft night: 19.6
I hold Smith in much higher regard than the general consensus, ranking him ahead of more heralded prospects on my personal draft board.
Smith's showing with the Ignite this season has been eye-opening, putting up averages of 13.7 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 1.9 combined steals and blocks per game in 22 minutes coming off the bench.
In today's NBA, where three-pointers and dunks reign supreme, Smith has excelled in scoring efficiently from these two crucial zones on the floor. Throughout 45 games, he combined for an impressive 60 made three-pointers and 58 dunks. For context, only four NCAA players have achieved at least 35 dunks and 35 shots from beyond the arc this season, as reported by Bart Torvik.
Smith stands out as a floor-spacing big, showcasing sneaky good passing skills with a positive assist-to-turnover ratio, and promising low post game.
Focus Areas for Summer
Low Post Game
While Smith has defined role as a floor-spacing big, I firmly believe there's untapped potential in his game.
This season with the Ignite, Smith displayed promise as an interior scoring threat, shooting a respectable 44% in post-up opportunities over 54 possessions. His potential as a low-post scorer is intriguing, especially considering that most of these opportunities came against stronger and more seasoned players.
With his size, athleticism, and soft touch, Smith has the foundation to become a dynamic inside/outside scoring threat and a potential All-Star. To maximize his gifts, I recommend adding a consistent hook shot, a reliable turn-around jumper, and perhaps a Kevin McHale-like up-and-under move to his scoring arsenal.
Film Study: Chris Bosh
Smith and Chris Bosh share common traits as athletic, left-handed big men from Texas, both capable of stretching the floor with their outside shooting.
Bosh, one of the premier players of his era, thrived due to his blend of size, quickness, and mid-range jumper. Smith could greatly benefit from studying Bosh's face-up game, observing how he created mismatches from the mid-post and the elbows with his shooting and ability to attack the rim.
Moreover, Bosh was a solid defender who excelled at hedging screens effectively and defending in space. This is an area where Smith could learn immensely from Bosh's career. Early on, Bosh faced challenges defending in the post against stronger opponents, but he developed into a formidable post defender, shot blocker, and double-digit rebounder over time.
10. Ron Holland
G League Ignite
Wing
6’6” | 200
Age on draft night: 18.9
Holland entered the season as an early favorite to be the top pick in the 2024 draft, drawing praise from NBA scouts and executives for his athleticism, energy, and two-way impact.
On the offensive end, Holland thrives as a relentless attacker around the rim, utilizing his aggressive slashing ability to finish plays above the rim in traffic.
Despite being the standout performer for Ignite this season, averaging 19.5 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game, Holland's draft stock has been dented by struggles with shooting, turnovers, and decision-making.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting
Similar to his Ignite teammate Matas Buzelis, Holland faced challenges adapting to the NBA 3-point line after high school.
This season, Holland connected on just 24% of his 3-point attempts, along with shooting below 30% on contested and uncontested catch-and-shoot jumpers as well as mid-range pull-ups.
Given his preference for attacking the rim, enhancing his outside shooting to keep defenses honest should be a top priority in the offseason.
I recommend hiring a shooting coach and committing to a minimum of 500 shots per day using the Noah Shooting System, a tool that offers real-time measurements and tracking for shots from various spots on the court.
The Noah Shooting System isn't just a camera; it also provides real-time feedback through a speaker system in the gym. Immediately after a shot, it can project measurements such as arc, depth, and left-right coordinates.
Film Study - JJ Redick
Let's be clear: Holland and Redick are different players, occupying different positions on the court. However, Holland could greatly benefit from studying Redick's work ethic and approach to outside shooting.
This season, Holland transitioned from being an interior scorer in high school to playing on the perimeter as a wing in his first professional campaign. While his motor, energy, and athleticism translated well, as previously mentioned, he encountered challenges with his shooting.
Holland possesses natural athleticism and has impacted games with his physical tools, even without a consistent jump shot.
On the other hand, Redick entered the NBA known as a sharpshooter, boasting a 40%+ shooting from downtown during his illustrious four-year college career at Duke. Despite lacking physical advantages over his NBA peers, Redick carved out a successful career as a shooting specialist.
Redick's success can be attributed to his relentless work ethic, drive, and consistency.
In an interview on the 'Knuckleheads' podcast, Redick, dubbed the "NBA's Most Meticulous Player," shared insights into his offseason training routine, emphasizing the rigorous work he put in throughout his career.
His offseason regimen consisted of six days a week, with two to three workouts per day. Saturdays were off, while Sundays were dedicated to making exactly 342 shots, following a structured routine:
- Shooting from 7 spots on the floor
- 20 spot-up 2-pointers
- Make 5 free throws
- 20 spot-up 3-pointers
- Make 5 free throws
- 3 one-dribble pull-ups going right
- Make 5 free throws
- 3 one-dribble pull-ups going left
- Make 5 free throws
This routine totaled 342 makes.
On game days, Redick maintained a consistent shooting routine, which included 35 spot-up jumpers from various spots along the 3-point line, 28 off-the-dribble 3-pointers, four catch-and-shoot 3-pointers from each wing, and 10 free throws.
If Holland can adopt and maintain a similar meticulous routine, the sky is the limit for his potential.
11. Zaccharie Risacher
JL Bourg (France)
International
Wing
6’10” | 205
Age on draft night: 19.2
You may have noticed his absence on Big Board 4.0 Part I and wondered, "Where is Zaccharie Risacher?" After a scorching start, where he shot 44.8% over his first 41 games, Risacher cooled off significantly, averaging just 7 points per game while shooting 31% from the floor and 17% from 3 over an 11 game stretch. He’s been on a scoring tear lately, reaching double figures in his last five games. His standout performance came in his latest outing, where he put up 18 points on a flawless shooting display: 5 for 5 from the field, 2 for 2 from beyond the arc, and a perfect 6 for 6 from the foul line.
Focus Areas for Summer
Offensive Creativity
When Risacher's shot goes cold, his lack of creativity off the dribble becomes glaringly evident. This raises questions about his offensive impact when his shooting isn't on point. Over his 11 game slump, Risacher attempted only 12 free throws, highlighting his struggle to attack the rim. Perhaps this is why Matas Buzelis publicly challenged him to a one-on-one duel during the pre-draft process. While basketball is a team sport, I firmly believe that a wing prospect, especially one in contention for a top-five pick, must excel at generating his own offense.
Engaging in intense one-on-one battles will sharpen Risacher's scoring instincts and allow him to develop signature moves, along with counters, from various scoring areas such as the mid-post, elbows, and top of the key.
Film Study - Jerami Grant
Risacher is already a versatile defender capable of guarding multiple positions, similar to Jerami Grant. However, his shooting efficiency surpasses Grant's at the same stage in their careers.
Grant has evolved into a reliable deep threat, shooting over 40% from 3 in 2023-24, and averaging over 20 points per game in his last 4 seasons. While not known for creative isolation scoring, Grant excels as a transition finisher, is a capable mid-post scorer, and can create plays out of ball screens.
Analyzing Grant's offensive growth and incorporating signature moves from various parts of the court, as well as broadening his offensive skill set, would increase Risacher's effectiveness when his shooting isn't on point.
12. Isaiah Collier
USC
Freshman
Point Guard
6’5” | 210
Age on draft night: 19.7
Isaiah Collier has reemerged as a lottery prospect after finishing his freshman season at USC with a strong surge. Despite a setback in January due to a fractured hand, he managed to average 17.3 points and 4.5 assists, shooting 47.2% from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc on 2.9 attempts per game over 11 games after returning from injury.
Prior to his injury, concerns about Collier's draft stock centered on his inconsistent shooting, questionable basketball IQ, and turnovers. However, at 6'5" and weighing 210 pounds, Collier is a strong, aggressive downhill driver that should thrive in transition, while showing flashes of advanced court vision. That alone is enticing.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting
Collier got off to a rocky start but finished shooting a respectable 35% from the floor on jump shots. Continuing to progess as a shooter will be vital in Collier’s long term success. This summer, he should prioritize working on catch-and-shoot threes, mid-range pull-ups, and jumpers out of ball screens. Encouragingly, Collier showed improvement, ending the season shooting 37% on catch-and-shoot jumpers and 39% on uncontested catch-and-shoot opportunities.
Film Study - James Harden
Collier and Harden share similarities as burly playmakers who use their size, strength and first step to pressure the rim and create scoring opportunities for themselves or teammates.
In retrospect, Harden faced concerns about his athleticism and shooting during his pre-draft evaluations, notably shooting only 27% on jumpers off the dribble in his final season at Arizona State. However, he evolved into a prolific 3-point shooter, ranking among the NBA's top all-time leaders in made 3-pointers.
Collier pick up valuable insights from Harden's shooting improvement, but his primary focus should be on studying Harden's pace and ability to dissect defenses. Harden excels at creating advantages as a ball-handler, a skill highlighted by the "advantages created" statistic introduced by Sports Info Solutions, which measures opportunities for high-quality shots.
Collier would benefit from pinpointing Harden’s strengths as a playmaker and studying his offensive creativity, particularly observing how Harden plays the game at his own pace. This focus is crucial for Collier, given his tendency to play erratically and susceptibility to being sped up by aggressive defenders.
13. Kel’el Ware
Indiana
Sophomore
C
7’0” | 240
Age on draft night: 20.1
Kel'el Ware assembled an impressive season, flying somewhat under the radar as he averaged 15.9 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks per game. His efficiency stood out as well, shooting 58.6% overall and an impressive 42.5% from long range, showcasing the talent that marked him as a tantalizing prospect in high school.
However, assessments of Ware's draft potential diverge significantly, with some scouts commending his productivity and physical attributes, while others raise concerns about his work ethic, intensity, and toughness.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting
Ware showcased efficiency from long range this season, emerging as one of the premier floor spacers in this draft class. Continuing to build on his promising shooting profile, along with adding strength should be a major emphasis over the spring and summer.
Ware’s shooting splits are elite for a 7-footer, shooting 40% FG on catch and shoot jumpers and a sizzling 47% on uncontested jumpers off the catch. If Ware’s outside shooting translates to the NBA, he’ll be the rare floor spacing vertical lob threat that can protect the paint.
Film Study - Daniel Gafford
At the very least, Ware could establish a long NBA career in a role akin to Daniel Gafford—a high-energy, athletic big man impacting the game as a rebounder, shot-blocker, and lob threat. However, Ware's bigger, longer, and soft touch sets him apart, making him a much more versatile offensive threat, particularly as a floor spacer.
While Gafford may lack Ware's offensive diversity, his consistent effort and energy set a standard worth emulating. Ware's main area for improvement lies in his inconsistent intensity, making a study of Gafford's consistent effort, whether starting or coming off the bench, worthwhile.
14. Dalton Knecht
Tennessee
Senior
Wing
6’6” | 213
Age on draft night: 23.1
Knecht capped off his standout senior season in spectacular fashion, averaging 26 points per game in the NCAA tournament and scoring 37 in a crucial Elite Eight matchup against Purdue.
Knecht's shooting, athleticism, and shotmaking has earned admiration from front offices across the league. At 23 years old on draft night, he stands out as one of the more NBA-ready prospects in a draft seen as lacking standout talent.
Focus Areas for Summer
Pull-up Shooting
Knecht is an excellent shooter, who connected on 39% of his 3-point attempts on a healthy 6.9 attempts per game. He's proven to be efficient across various shooting categories:
42.4% on catch and shoot jumpers
40.6% on guarded catch and shoot jumpers
46.7% on uncontested catch and shoot jumpers
However, there's room for improvement in one area: pull-up shooting off the dribble. This season, Knecht struggled, shooting just 30% on dribble jumpers. Focusing on developing a stop-and-pop jumper could add a valuable dimension to his game.
Film Study - Desmond Bane
Bane is recognized as one of the NBA's premier 3-point shooters, but he's also underrated as a scorer off the dribble. This season, Bane scored 327 points and shot 40% on jumpers off the dribble.
Bane is a dangerous off the dribble 3 point shooter out of ball screens, but can also attack an aggressive closeout with a one dribble pull up. Examining Bane's off-the-dribble shooting would elevate Knecht's game, transforming him into a three-level scorer.
15. Ja'Kobe Walter
Baylor
Freshman
Wing
6’5” | 195
Age on draft night: 19.7
Walter has established himself as an intriguing 3-and-D wing prospect, boasting a combination of shooting and defensive potential, and a lengthy 6'10" wingspan. His knack for sinking difficult shots on the move adds further allure to his game. In the face of an inconsistent freshman season, Walter closed it out on a high note, averaging 19.5 points, 5 rebounds, and 10.5 free throw attempts per game in the NCAA tournament.
Focus Areas for Summer
Shooting Consistency
Outside shooting is the skillset Walter will hang his hat on in the NBA, making it crucial for him to enhance his consistency as a floor spacer. Although he excelled in uncontested catch-and-shoot situations, hitting 42% of his attempts, he only shot 33% on jump shots over all. However, a heavy diet of movement jumpers notably influenced his percentages. Walter's NBA identity will likely center around his prowess as an outside shooter, highlighting the importance of a rigorous 500 makes per day routine this summer.
Offensive Versatility
Walter is a unique prospect in the sense that he makes frequent trips to the foul line without a great slasher or finisher around the rim. Developing into a better scorer off the dribble and finisher near the basket needs to be a priority. Walter struggled finishing at the rim this season, converting only 46.1% of his layups while shooting just 29.4% on dribble jumpers. While I believe Walter is a much better passer than the numbers indicate, he averaged just 1.4 assist per game.
Film Study - Norman Powell
Powell is a career 39% shooter from deep, showcasing his ability to knock down shots with precision, whether his feet are set or he's on the move. Walter stands to gain insights from Powell's techniques for getting open off screens, but perhaps the most valuable lesson lies in Powell's consistent energy level every game. Walter's performance this season has been inconsistent, fluctuating between impressive 20-point outings and single-digit efforts. While Walter may not possess the same athleticism as Powell, it wouldn't be surprising to see similar measurements, with Walter likely measuring around 6'4" in shoes and boasting a 6'11" wingspan at the NBA combine.
16. Tidjane Salaun
Cholet Basket (France)
International
Wing
6’9” | 205
Age on draft night: 18.8
Salaun is an enticing long-term prospect, showing glimpses of promise on both ends of the court with plenty of room for growth and development.
Salaun, who won't turn 19 until August, is set to be one of the youngest players in this draft class. His play this season is increasingly positioning him as a potential lottery pick, drawing attention for his upside as a shotmaker, finisher, and versatile defender.
Salaun’s impressive combination of size, athleticism, and a strong work ethic, has made him a highly regarded prospect among international NBA scouts.
Focus Areas for Summer
Shooting Consistency and Ball handling
Salaun's game is still in its raw stages, and his confidence often lead to questionable shot selection. Given his tendency to be streaky rather than consistent as a shooter, it's crucial to prioritize improving his outside shot during the summer. His occasional displays of shotmaking, particularly given his size, are promising, and refining his jump shot could elevate him as one of the top long-term prospects in this class.
Dedicating a significant amount of time to working on corner 3s would be my suggestion, while engaging in daily one-on-one showdowns against his pre-draft peers, with a heavy focus on improving his ball handling and creating space, could unlock the shot-making flashes we've seen over the last 18 months.
Film Study - Tobias Harris
Saluan's trajectory could mirror that of Tobias Harris. Harris, now in his 13th NBA season, entered the league as a 19-year-old rookie who initially saw limited playing time, averaging around 11 minutes per game in his first two years. However, by his third year, Harris had developed into a 17-point-per-game scorer and a high-level NBA starter.
Similarly, Salaun may follow a comparable path. He's young and raw, likely needing a couple of years to develop before making significant contributions to winning. Harris struggled with his three-point shooting early in his career, and Salaun may face similar challenges. However, with time and development, he could evolve into a reliable floor spacer, much like Harris, who has five seasons of shooting 38% or better from beyond the arc on his resume.
17. Hunter Sallis
Wake Forest
Junior
Wing
6’5” | 185
Age on draft night: 21.2
Sallis has solidified his status as a legitimate first-round pick following a breakout season with Wake Forest, highlighted by a 29-point performance on 11-13 shooting against Duke in late February.
A former McDonald's All-American, Sallis has once again caught the attention of NBA scouts with his combination of length, athleticism, and ability to score at all three levels.
Focus Areas for Summer
Build On Outside Shooting Progress
Sallis had an impressive season shooting the ball, establishing himself among the most efficient shooters in the 2024 NBA draft class. He posted a shooting percentage of 42.9% on jump shots overall, with his catch-and-shoot percentages (39.9% overall) remaining consistent whether guarded (39.3%) or uncontested (40.8%).
Arguably the best pull-up shooter in the draft, Sallis shot an impressive 46% on jumpers off the dribble on a 154 attempts.
Continuing to build upon his strong shooting season should be the main priority for Sallis, as teams may still harbor skepticism regarding his surge in production and efficiency at Wake Forest compared to his prior two seasons at Gonzaga.
Film Study - James Harden
Sallis’ mother, Jessica, is cousins with James Harden Sr., providing Hunter with a distant family connection for inspiration. Despite boasting a 24.9% usage rate, Sallis has faced criticism for his low assist numbers and a modest 3.4 free throw attempts per game while averaging 35.4 minutes.
Studying Harden, renowned for his elite passing and knack for drawing fouls, could elevate Sallis’ game significantly. Analyzing Harden's ability to dissect defenses, facilitate for teammates, and capitalize on free throw opportunities could potentially expand Sallis’ role in the NBA, enhancing his value as a primary or secondary ball handler, particularly given his 6’5” frame.
18. Jared McCain
Duke
Freshman
Guard
6’3”| 195
Age on draft night: 20.3
McCain is a dynamic scoring threat and tough shot maker, known for his ability to score in bunches from the perimeter while also providing steady playmaking.
In his lone season at Durham, McCain averaged 13.6 points and 5 rebounds per game on 46/41/88 shooting splits. However, he truly shined in the NCAA tournament, averaging 21 points and 5 rebounds per game while shooting an outstanding 50% from the field, 50% from beyond the arc, and 94% from the free-throw line.
McCain could find himself in the late lottery discussion for a team seeking instant offense and scoring firepower.
Focus Areas for Summer
Crafty finishing
While McCain was an efficient finisher around the rim this season, converting 61.7% of his paint attempts, concerns persist regarding his size and athleticism, and whether he can create separation against NBA defenders.
Given his below-the-rim finishing, McCain must develop a repertoire of soft-touch floaters and runners, along with mastering angles to evade rim protectors. Dedication to refining ambidextrous crafty finishes throughout the summer could elevate him to a three-level NBA scorer.
Film Study - Steph Curry
Curry holds the title of the most prolific shooter in NBA history, boasting a ridiculous 42.6% accuracy from downtown throughout his career, on a robust 9.2 attempts per game. Despite being a below-the-rim finisher, he remains an effective scorer around the rim, utilizing backdoor cuts and drives to contribute to his scoring repertoire.
Steph Curry on his scoring at the rim:
Knowing I can shoot the ball and put a lot of pressure on the defenses there, you gotta be able to have a change-up to get to the paint and find creative ways to finish. I'm not playing above the rim, so it's just about playing angles and having some touch in there. Gotta use your shot as a threat to open up driving lanes, and I've been able to do that. Even coming off great screens from guys, not being afraid of contact either. I don't get to the foul line that much, but still just trying to figure out how to get your lane, get your driving angle, protect the ball, get it on the rim, and hope it goes in.
Learning how Curry utilizes the threat of his shooting to exploit aggressive closeouts, while employing techniques such as initiating contact, leveraging angles, and driving directly into defenders' chests to generate scoring opportunities at the rim, would be highly beneficial.
19. Devin Carter
Providence
Junior
Guard
6’3” | 195
Age on draft night: 22.3
Carter had an exceptional season, averaging 19.7 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game, earning him the Big East Player of the Year award.
Carter is projected to make an immediate impact as a point-of-attack defender, effectively guarding multiple positions, while providing rebounding, toughness and outside shooting.
Focus Areas for Summer
Mid-Range Jumper
Carter struggled with his jumper off the bounce, shooting only 32% this season. This summer, he should prioritize developing an effective in-between game to complement his improving outside shooting and finishing at the rim. While he was efficient as a catch-and-shoot shooter, converting 40.2% of his attempts, enhancing his handle, mid-range jumper, and offensive creativity could define his NBA role and potentially elevate him beyond a 3-and-D role player.
Film Study - Jrue Holiday
Renowned as one of the premier defenders in the NBA, Jrue Holiday's versatility enables him to guard a wide range of opponents, from larger wings in the post to quick guards on the perimeter. Carter shares similarities with Holiday in his ability to defend multiple positions, in addition to being an excellent rebounder and capable floor spacer.
One aspect where Carter could benefit from studying Holiday is in decision-making. Carter averaged 3.6 assists and 2.7 turnovers per game this season, which has raised concerns about his NBA role. Holiday encountered turnover challenges during his rookie year but has since maintained a respectable 2.4 assists-to-turnover ratio over his 15-year career.
20. Yves Missi
Baylor
Freshman
Post
6’10” | 235
Age on draft night: 19.6
Missi's NBA trajectory positions him as an imposing rim protector and defensive anchor, capable of switching and containing ball handlers in space, while also cleaning the glass on both ends of the floor.
Scouts have differing opinions on whether he's prepared to contribute immediately; however, NBA front offices are intrigued by his massive 7'5" wingspan, athleticism, and mobility.
While Missi is still refining his offensive game, he boasts one of the highest ceilings in this draft class, showcasing glimpses of balance, coordination, and footwork in the low post.
Focus Areas for Summer
Non-dunk finishes
Missi is a dynamic vertical lob target with reliable hands. However, his effectiveness diminishes outside the paint, compounded by his poor free-throw shooting, which raises concerns about his touch near the rim. Despite his limited offensive repertoire, Missi plays with intensity, consistently seeking to dunk everything around the basket, and can influence the game with his hustle on the offensive glass.
This offseason presents an opportunity for him to refine his game, focusing on finishing through contact, low post-scoring, and adding a consistent hook to his repertoire.
If Missi can refine his offensive skills and show more polish on that end of the floor, he has the potential to become one of the most intriguing prospects in the first round of the draft.
Film Study - Clint Capela
Missi has been likened to Clint Capela due to his potential as a double-double-producing lob threat and rim protector. Like Missi, Capela began his NBA journey as a talented yet raw prospect. Selected as the 25th pick in the 2014 NBA draft, Capela spent most of his rookie season in the D-League, scoring a total of just 32 NBA points. By his third year, he became a full-time starter and impactful play finisher, wreaking havoc for opponents out of pick-and-roll sets. Studying Capela's ability to quickly maneuver out of pick-and-roll and his relentless motor can provide valuable insights for Missi's development.
21. DaRon Holmes II
Dayton
Junior
Post
6’10” | 235
Age on draft night: 21.8
Holmes was one of the most productive players in the country this season, averaging 20.5 points, 8.5 rebounds, 2.6 assists, and 2.1 blocks per game while shooting 54% from the field and 38.6% from beyond the arc.
Standing out as one of the top big men in this draft class, Holmes brings a blend of play finishing, rim protection and floor spacing to the table. Additionally, he’s also a sneaky good distributor, showing promise as a short roll playmaker.
Focus Areas for Summer
Ball handling
Holmes has the potential to elevate his game significantly with an improved handle. I believe he has tools to become a formidable face-up scorer, capable of capitalizing on mismatches against smaller or slower defenders. Despite a limited sample size, Holmes shot 50% in isolation this season, showing glimpses of his potential to handle the ball in space and create scoring opportunities on straight line drives.
Adding just a little more wiggle off the dribble and improving his left hand should be points of emphasis this offseason.
Film Study - Al Horford
My brother James holds Holmes in high regard, likening him to a slimmer version of Al Horford. While Holmes may lack the bulk of Horford, he compensates with athleticism and projects to be a better rebounder. While’s it’s not an apples to apples comparison, Horford’s extensive NBA tenure is attributed to his well-rounded offensive game that includes outside shooting, interior scoring and connective passing. Horford’s game lacks flash, but is rich on substance and his baby hook is near automatic around the rim with both hands.
Analyzing how Horford's game has transitioned across different NBA eras and his significant contributions to successful teams offers valuable insights for emulation.
22. Tyler Kolek
Marquette
Senior
Point Guard
6’3”| 195
Age on draft night: 21.4
Kolek is one of my favorite players in this draft class and I can’t help but wonder how much he could help a team like the Phoenix Suns, who lack a table setter and floor general. Kolek is a brilliant passer, averaging an NCAA leading 7.7 assists this season, highlighted by his school record 18 assists performance against DePaul back in February.
While there are some reservations about his upside due to his lack of elite athleticism, I remain convinced of Kolek's value due to his high basketball IQ, leadership, intangibles and outside shooting.
Focus Areas for Summer
Mid Range Jumper
Kolek has proven himself as a proficient 3-point shooter, draining 39.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last two seasons. His proficiency is particularly evident in catch-and-shoot situations, where he connects on an impressive 44.9% of his attempts this season, rising to 47.2% when uncontested.
However, an area where I believe Kolek can significantly improve is in his mid-range shooting, particularly jumpers off the dribble. This season, Kolek shot 27% on dribble jumpers, with zero attempts between 17 feet and the 3-point line.
In a league that has become enamored with the pick-and-roll, a point guard who can come off a screen and knock down a 17-foot jump shot keeps defenses honest. I understand that the mid-range jumper is a topic of debate, and the current trend favors 3-pointers and scoring in the restricted area, as players are thought to be forfeiting efficiency when shooting inside the arc.
However, despite what math tells you about the mid-range shot, having a point guard who can consistently get to his spot within 10-16 feet at any given time is a valuable asset.
Film Study - Chris Paul
Speaking of the mid-range jumper, I believe Kolek could benefit from studying how Chris Paul manipulates defenses out of the pick-and-roll. CP3 punishes opponents for attempting to go under screens because they have to respect him as a 3-point shooter.
Moreover, Paul excels in the mid-range, particularly from the elbows. Regardless of how defenders scheme to guard him out of ball screens, he consistently finds ways to score. If the defender drops too much, he steps inside the arc and knocks down the pull-up jumper. Additionally, Paul has added a twist to his mid-range game by developing an unblockable fade-away jumper coming out of ball screens.
Kolek already demonstrates proficiency in controlling the tempo of the game and creating scoring opportunities for teammates. Learning from one of the game's best pick-and-roll maestros in Chris Paul, while also refining his own mid-range jumper, would undoubtedly benefit Kolek's game.
23. Kyle Filipowski
Duke
Sophomore
Post
7’0” | 245
Age on draft night: 20.6
Filipowski brings a unique set of skills to the table, attributes not commonly associated with a 7-footer. His ability to handle the ball, pass, and shoot, makes him a compelling prospect to plug into a rotation.
He serves as the ultimate connector or glue-guy on the court, consistently moving and contributing in various ways, whether it's screening on or off the ball, relocating to create spacing, or cutting to the rim. Filipowski does the little things that can impact winning.
However, despite his versatility and contributions, I don't share the same level of enthusiasm for Filipowski as the consensus opinion.
Focus Areas for Summer
I believe Filipowski's swing skill and career trajectory will be determined by his efficiency in knocking down open shots. He showed significant improvement as a shooter this season, with his three-point shooting percentage jumping to 34.8%, a notable increase from the 28% he shot as a freshman. While Filipowski is already a versatile offensive weapon capable of scoring and playmaking from the low post, becoming a more consistent shooter will unlock his full potential.
Establishing a consistent routine of making 500 shots per day, or 2,500 a week over the offseason, should help Filipowski develop into a reliable floor spacer.
Film Study - Naz Reid
There's a chance I could be mistaken about Filipowski, similar to how NBA teams misjudged Naz Reid. Reid, undrafted out of LSU in 2019, initially signed a two-way contract with the Timberwolves that summer. Fast forward to 2024, and Reid was named the NBA's Sixth Man of the Year, playing a crucial role in the Minnesota Timberwolves' impressive 56-26 record, securing the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference.
Like Reid, Filipowski showcases a multifaceted skill set but falls short in terms of ideal athleticism. Studying Reid's game closely, especially his knack for creating scoring chances off the dribble and using his court vision and passing instincts to facilitate open looks for teammates and find backdoor cutters, can provide valuable insights for Filipowski's development.
Reid's evolution into a reliable outside shooter, evident by his career-high 41% shooting from deep in the 2023-24 season and 37% overall for his career, provides a blueprint for Filipowski to potentially follow.
Should Filipowski's trajectory mirror Reid's journey, my current ranking of him may prove to be undervalued.
24. Kyshawn George
Miami
Freshman
Wing
6’8”| 205
Age on draft night: 20.6
George has emerged as a potential lottery pick, surprising scouts with his promising play despite starting the season with little fanfare in terms of draft buzz. His combination of size, court vision, and outside shooting makes him a highly appealing long-term prospect. George shot an impressive 40.8% from beyond the arc this season, showcasing efficiency both in catch-and-shoot situations and off the dribble. However, it's his passing ability that could significantly boost his draft stock, particularly given his 6'8" frame, aligning well with the current trend of big, versatile playmakers.
Focus Areas for Summer
Finishing At The Rim
Statistically, George wasn't a poor finisher at the rim, converting 58.5% of his attempts, but to maximize his potential, he'll need to improve his effectiveness in the restricted areas. While he may find success without relying heavily on finishing at the rim, honing his skills in floaters and developing soft touch finishes could compensate for his limited vertical pop and elevation around the basket. Additionally, adding strength to his frame is crucial, as he tends to avoid contact.
Intense training where he's consistently challenged with physicality and forced to play through contact would be highly advantageous for his development.
Film Study - Kyle Anderson
Anderson, possibly the slowest wing in the NBA, compensates for his lack of burst and athleticism with sheer craftiness. George could benefit from learning how Anderson, despite his limitations, creates opportunities as a pick-and-roll ball handler at 6’9”.
George could benefit from studying Anderson's knack for scoring in isolation situations when necessary. Anderson's distinctive approach involves leveraging his lack of athleticism to his advantage, often catching defenders off guard with his deceptive jab steps and pump fakes. Moreover, Anderson effectively utilizes his size to create separation and to finish over smaller defenders.
25. Jaylon Tyson
California
Junior
Forward
6’7” | 215
Age on draft night: 21.6
In my opinion, Tyson has firmly positioned himself as a potential first-round pick in the upcoming NBA Draft. He embodies the qualities of a true do-it-all wing player, showcasing a versatile skill set that includes three-level scoring, rebounding, and playmaking.
Tyson is a crafty scorer, using his strength to overpower smaller defenders while while also having the ball handling and footwork to attack bigs on switches. Whether penetrating to the basket, drawing fouls, or executing pinpoint passes, Tyson consistently impacted the game this season in a high-usage role, a departure from his primarily floor-spacing role at Texas Tech.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting
Although he’s a little streaky, Tyson is an efficient shooter from all over the floor, capable of knocking down shots off the catch or stop and pop jumpers off the bounce.
Given the likelihood of a scaled-down role early in his NBA career compared to his time at Cal, it's crucial for him to maintain consistency as an outside threat and complementary player until he earns more ball-handling opportunities.
Adhering to the same regimen that has propelled him to a 37% career shooting average over his college tenure keeps Tyson on the right trajectory.
Film Study - Draymond Green
In my view, Draymond Green is a future Hall of Famer who perfectly embodies the concept being a star in your role. Despite recent controversies, I admire Green's versatility as a defender and playmaker, but more importantly how he’s maximized every ounce of his talent. I believe Tyson could benefit from studying Green's game, particularly in terms of court vision and overall basketball IQ. Tyson has the potential to thrive as a secondary playmaker in a small-ball 4 role in the NBA. However, he needs to improve his decision-making and reduce his turnovers, as evidenced by his career assist-to-turnover ratio.
26. Tyon Grant-Foster
Grand Canyon
Senior
Wing
6’7”| 210
Age on draft night: 24.3
In my opinion, Grant-Foster ranks among the top two-way wings in this draft class due to his NBA-caliber size and length, which afford him the versatility to defend multiple positions on the floor.
While I love his defense and believe it will be the skill set to earn him early NBA minutes, I’m a big believer in Grant-Foster as an instant offense shotmaker. His quick first step, explosive athleticism, and shifty ball-handling make him a challenging matchup, particularly in the context of NBA spacing.
His dual potential was prominently showcased on the national stage during the NCAA tournament, where he amassed 29 points, eight rebounds, three blocks, and two steals in a 72-61 second-round contest against Alabama, a team that ultimately reached the Final Four.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting
Grant-Foster thrives when he's the primary option on offense and attacking off the dribble. However, his ability as a catch-and-shoot shooter is surprisingly underrated, suggesting he could excel in a reduced role in the NBA. TGF connected on 39.5% of his catch-and-shoot jumpers, shooting 38.9% when contested and 40.7% when left unguarded. Despite this, his 3-point shooting percentage dipped to 33% due to a significant number of contested jumpers off the dribble. In fact, he attempted 100 dribble jumpers, more than double his shots off the catch (49) during his breakout season.
Consistently proving his ability to knock down shots will be crucial in convincing NBA decision-makers of his long-term potential.
Film Study - Caris LeVert
Grant-Foster shares similarities with LeVert, showcasing creative ball-handling skills and a unique fluidity typically seen in smaller guards. Both players utilize their size, handle, and athleticism to navigate to their preferred spots for pull-up jumpers, becoming nearly unstoppable when their three-point shot is falling.
Despite enduring numerous injuries and health-related setbacks, LeVert has maintained a significant role as a rotation player, occasionally starting and consistently scoring in double figures throughout his 8-year career.
For Grant-Foster, achieving a similar career trajectory would be a significant victory, especially considering that his basketball journey was once presumed over after enduring two seasons of absence due to multiple heart surgeries and near-death experiences.
27. Zach Edey
Purdue
Senior
Post
7’4” | 300
Age on draft night: 21.1
I'm fashionably late to the Zach Edey first-round pick celebration, but I'm officially on board as a believer now. Edey remains a divisive figure in the 2024 NBA Draft, with opinions scattered across the spectrum among teams. While some firmly plant him in the first round, others leave him out of their top 30 entirely. Regardless of the varying views on his NBA potential, Edey's dominance in the college game over the past two seasons is undeniable. Just last month, he concluded one of the most remarkable careers in NCAA history, sweeping all six major National Player of the Year honors and becoming the first player in over 50 years to claim unanimous National Player of the Year accolades in consecutive seasons. And let's not forget, he also guided Purdue to the national title game.
Focus Areas for Summer
Short Roll Game
Edey's immense size makes him a formidable screener, capable of freeing guards with ease. Despite tipping the scales at 300 pounds, his footwork and agility enable him to execute plays as the roll man with finesse. Expanding his scoring and playmaking repertoire from short rolls would add a fresh dynamic to his game, which currently revolves around dominating inside the paint. With a soft touch on his hooks around the rim and a respectable 70% free-throw shooting percentage over his four-year career, incorporating a floater into his arsenal is a feasible adjustment.
Film Study - Yao Ming
Edey is frequently compared to Yao Ming due to their massive size and Chinese heritage. Contemplating how Ming's game would fare in today's NBA is intriguing, given his ability to dominate inside the paint and knock down mid-range jumpers.
Edey is yet to showcase the same shooting range, although it could be a facet he develops over time. Nonetheless, Edey could benefit from studying how Ming handled double teams, a skill that could be crucial given his dominance in the paint.
One area where Edey could notably improve is his passing. Despite frequently facing double and even triple teams, Edey's assist numbers have remained relatively low, averaging only 1.3 assists over 138 games.
Says Purdue coach Matt Painter:
Why should you be a good passer when people want you to shoot the basketball from 5 feet?
Unlike Ming, Edey's late emergence as a dominant force meant he wasn't often the focal point of double teams until his junior season.
Edey has shown signs of improvement in this area, averaging a career-high 2.0 assists per game this season. Delving into film sessions focused on Ming's passing out of double teams could provide Edey with valuable insights and strategies to anticipate and navigate similar situations in his NBA career.
28. Ajay Mitchell
California - Santa Barbara
Junior
Combo Guard
6’5” | 190
Age on draft night: 21.9
I like Mitchell more than most do. I believe he's one of the draft's most creative and efficient shot-makers. He's got a deep bag of offensive tricks, with a strong midrange game, crafty finishes at the rim, and a respectable 39% shooting from beyond the arc, albeit with slightly fewer attempts than other top guards. However, he compensates for his lower volume of 3-point attempts by frequently drawing fouls and earning trips to the charity stripe, averaging 6.3 free throw attempts per game with an 85.8% success rate.
Focus Areas for Summer
3 Point Shooting
To be frank, Mitchell's offensive game is remarkably well-rounded. He's proficient as a scorer at all three levels, demonstrating a knack for finishing at the rim and drawing fouls frequently, despite not possessing ideal speed and athleticism.
Yet, he exhibits some reluctance when it comes to taking deep shots off the catch, despite his effectiveness when shooting with his feet set. Developing greater confidence in catch-and-shoot scenarios will be pivotal for him to acclimate to a more limited offensive role in the NBA.
Film Study - Jamal Murray
One of the primary questions NBA teams had regarding Murray as he entered the draft was whether he could develop into a combo guard or even a point guard in his NBA career. Concerns arose about his NBA position, particularly after he averaged more turnovers than assists at Kentucky. While Murray's shooting ability and confidence were never in doubt, there were reservations about how his lack of athleticism would translate to the NBA.
Mitchell, although an older prospect than Murray was at the time of the draft, faces similar concerns regarding his true NBA position and his limited burst and quickness.
Studying how Murray has overcome his shortcomings is worth emulating.
29. Terrence Shannon Jr.
Illinois
Senior
Wing
6’6”| 225
Age on draft night: 23.8
Until last week, Shannon was intentionally left out of my top 30 prospects due to the uncertainty surrounding his legal situation.
In December, he was charged with rape or an alternative count of sexual battery stemming from an incident in Kansas that occurred in September.
Shannon was initially suspended from the Illini basketball team due to the allegations.
However, he was reinstated after a federal ruling stated that the athletic department violated his due process rights, allowing him to play for the rest of the season.
Last week, Terrence Shannon Jr.’s attorneys filed a motion to exclude the state’s DNA testing in the criminal case, which could potentially work in his favor.
Despite the legal challenges, Shannon had an outstanding senior season, ranking among the nation's scoring leaders. He notably performed well in the Big Ten tournament, scoring a total of 102 points over three games.
Focus Areas for Summer
Offensive Creativity and Playmaking
Despite being a big-time scorer, Shannon isn’t the most creative scorer off the dribble. He excels in transition and is an excellent pull-up shooter, ranking as one of the most efficient stop-and-pop scorers in the country.
While it's highly likely he can carve out a successful career as a dynamic slasher and spot-up shooter, incorporating more offensive creativity, craftiness, and playmaking could elevate his standing in terms of offensive pecking order.
Film Study - Jaylen Brown
Jaylen Brown has done an impressive job of evolving his game over the years, particularly in terms of his ability to create scoring opportunities for himself and his teammates.
When he entered the NBA, Brown was raw offensively, but showcased exceptional physical attributes, athleticism, and defensive versatility.
Shannon Jr., although one of the older prospects in this draft class, doesn't have the same potential Brown did when he entered the NBA after one year of college. However, emulating certain aspects of Brown’s game, particularly his development as a passer and creator off the dribble, could be advantageous for Shannon Jr.
In Brown’s early NBA seasons, he struggled with turnovers, often outnumbering his assists. However, he has made significant strides in decision-making in recent years.
Shannon Jr. has only recorded 10 more assists than turnovers over 146 college games and will need to enhance his playmaking abilities to handle a larger offensive role in the NBA.
30. Nikola Djurisic
KK Mega Bemax (Serbia)
International
Forward
6’8”| 215
Age on draft night: 20.4
Once touted as one of the premier international prospects in the 2023 draft, Djurisic has resurfaced as a potential first-round pick in 2024, thanks to his outstanding performance in the latter half of the season.
In recent weeks, Djurisic has been averaging 26.8 points, 4.4 assists, and shooting an impressive 52.3% from beyond the arc.
Standing at 6’8”, Djurisic possesses the skills of a versatile, do-it-all wing with NBA-caliber size, and he has the capabilities to serve as a secondary ball handler.
Djurisic made a significant impression, particularly with a standout performance of 24 points and six assists against Amen and Ausar Thompson in a friendly matchup with Overtime Elite back in the fall of 2023.
Focus Areas for Summer
Outside Shooting
Djurisic has been on the radar of NBA scouts for years. However, his average athleticism and outside shooting have been a point of contention in his otherwise well-rounded game.
Currently, he maintains a 33% shooting accuracy on jump shots overall and off the catch, but his proficiency drops to 28% on pull-up jumpers off the dribble.
While Djurisic has displayed improvement as a shooter, it's imperative for him to continue investing countless hours in the gym to transform the narrative surrounding his shooting from poor and streaky to consistent and reliable.
Film Study - Nikola Jović
Djurisic doesn’t need to search far for inspiration on how to make an early impact in his NBA career. A fellow Serbian, Nikola Jović, shares similarities with Djurisic as a versatile jumbo ball handler and has already secured a spot in the Miami Heat rotation in just his second season. While Jović is taller at 6’10”, both faced concerns about athleticism and inconsistent outside shooting upon entering the NBA.
Jović has quietly addressed these issues, boasting a 39.9% shooting percentage from beyond the arc this season, along with demonstrating promising playmaking and contributing on the boards. I believe Djurisic is a better passer thanJović, which could position him well for a connective, complimentary role. Analyzing the qualities that earned 20-year-old Jović the trust of Erik Spoelstra is a valuable study for Djurisic.
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